Bundesliga leaders 1.FC Köln welcome MSV Duisburg to the RheinEnergieStadion this evening, looking for three points to take themselves five points clear at the top of the table.
Köln’s strength is their ability to snatch victory from the jaws of draws. Five of the last six (W5, L1) featured over 2.5 goals with four seeing over 3.5 goals. The only draw in their nine matches came at home with Union Berlin, who remain the division’s only unbeaten team.
Die Geißböcke have yet to keep a clean sheet at home, conceding one goal in three games. Only once has a visiting team scored over 1.5 goals; Paderborn in a shock 5 – 3 win with two goals in the final four minutes and Köln reduced to ten men.
Köln have six wins in seven and three on the spin heading into this match, scoring at least two goals in those games.
Duisburg prop up the table and are without a win this season in the league. Their one triumph came at TuS Dassendorf in the DFB-Pokal. Having failed to score in any of their first four games, Duisburg broke their duck in a 2 – 2 at Union Berlin and since then, they managed a 3 – 3 draw at Magdeburg, as well as two home defeats.
It’s been four games since their opponents scored under 1.5 goals with the last two scoring three. Both those games saw over 3.5 goals; three in the last four saw that total reached with the other seeing over 1.5 goals.
No fresh injury worries reported for the league leaders with Markus Anfang likely to field an unchanged side from last time out.
Torsten Lieberknecht is still searching for his winning formula and is likely to continue tweaking his line-up until he finds it.
Form (Last six matches)
- Köln: WWLWWW
- Duisburg: LLDLDL
Köln are unbeaten in the last four against Duisburg, winning the last meeting 6 – 0 in 2016 when the two clubs met in a friendly.
In competitive games, the last three ended drawn with the last two in Köln finishing goalless. Duisburg won the two prior to those drawn matches.
Top vs bottom ought to see a comfortable home victory but the defeat to Paderborn offers Duisburg a shaft of hope in a bleak sky. Köln are freescoring at home and when the visitors find their shooting boots, they leave their defensive brains behind. That will offer Köln plenty of opportunities to grab all three points ahead of the international break.
A high-scoring but comfortable home win is our tip for this one
Total Goals: OVER 2.5 – 1.50 (1/2)
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